For Moonwood and KTR

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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby Keep The Reason » Wed May 23, 2012 1:57 pm

Dr Mundo wrote:I think KTR is talking about the Christians in America as I doubt he is referencing the rest of the 2 billion Christians we know little to nothing about.


Well, I was until SS made me realize that if those 2 billion were adopting these characteristics, we'd see a much different world out there, but they must NOT be adopting them in any great numbers because the same shit prevails.

The problem of course is not with humans, who are merely being human, it's with the "nobler characteristics" of Jesus which are pretty difficult for anyone to actually embrace except in the most sporadic of ways.

I offered to take them off the table because I couldn't make a sensible case of knowing what they believe, but-- once I went through the list I saw it's pretty obvious that human beings simply have a hell of a time doing those types of things with any regularlity.
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby JustJim » Wed May 23, 2012 4:03 pm

KTR, writing to StillSearching, wrote:Do you think Christians by far turn the other cheek?
Do they allow themselves to have their shirts taken, and then give their coats as well?
Do you think they shun material wealth in any great numbers?
Do many of them seek to lay down their lives for others in any sweeping or grand numbers?
Do Christians exhibit in any compelling numbers loving others as they love themselves?
Do Christians tend to not adulter?
Do they not divorce?
Do they abstain from killing?
Theft?
Lying?

I don't see any of these things in any compelling numbers within Christians, and I can cite (and have) a few million of them that certainly embrace ideology that goes the other way.

I think the vast majority of people who call themselves Christians do, in fact, aspire to live according to those things you've listed from Jesus' teachings. That they want to live according to those ideals doesn't mean they're always successful in doing so, of course, and even more importantly, that doesn't mean that isn't their ideology. I think you (KTR) could try harder to recognize that. You're implying that because they often fail at living up to the aspirations of their ideology, they don't really HAVE those aspirations as ideals for their behavior. How different is that from someone saying that because there are occasions when you fail to live up to your own moral values and standards for your own behavior, you really don't hold those values and standards? If I say I don't WANT to do that which I know is wrong, but I find myself doing it in spite of myself, does that mean I don't really think it's wrong? Of course not! Maybe you should lean a little farther toward judging Christians by the way you'd want to be judged....

I think Christians, in general, understand that they (we) all fall short of living up to what we believe is right and good and fair and just and so on. I understand their sense of 'conviction' over their 'guilt' and their sense of failure. I share similar feelings to theirs when I fall short of living up to my own standards of what's right and wrong. I know enough about Jesus and his teachings (as described in the Bible and from too-many-to-count hours of reading and studying it and its many, MANY interpretations) to know that when Christians figuratively lay themselves at the 'foot of the cross' in repentance and surrender to God's will -- as they perceive, understand, and believe it -- they're fully aware that they've failed to live up to the standards they believe their God has laid down for them to follow. Just because they don't always turn the other cheek; shun material gain; sacrifice their lives for their loved ones; love their neighbors as themselves; or refrain from adultery, divorce, killing, theft or lying doesn't mean they don't believe they SHOULD or that they don't do their humanly best to live up to those standards.

I don't know you well enough to say for sure, but based on what I know of you from your writings here, I'd be willing to bet you don't always live up to your own standards of how you want to live your life, either. And I don't think that means you don't really believe you should try to live that way. Can't you give Christians the same benefit of the doubt? I think you'd be a better, more complete atheist if you could find a way to do that....

I don't know... Maybe I'm reading you wrong. That's just my opinion, based on how I've interpreted your thoughts so far....

Jim
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby Moonwood the Hare » Wed May 23, 2012 4:34 pm

Dr Mundo wrote:
Moonwood the Hare wrote:Yes I understand but here's the problem. The claim that the most reasonable position is to put the most stock on those claims for which we have evidentiary support is itself a claim which by its very nature cannot have evidentiary support and hence a claim on which according to itself we should not put much stock.
This is just not true. When we have a claim and want to examine it. We use evidence to support the claim in order to ensure that we have, at least to the best abilities we can sum up, a reasonably accurate claim. Take a look at the Chemical structure of fossil fuels. We use evidence to support the ratio of Carbon to Hydrogen in each variation. We have tons and tons of examples in which evidentiary support can give us accurate information. The abandonment of evidence in favor for "x" leads to less supported and higher probability of an inaccurate claim. That is used as evidence to support the claim that evidence supports claims far better than assumptions and guesses. If you wanted to see the chemical make up for gasoline would you use evidence supported data or guess as to what it might be, and if two different people used those two methods whos data do you suppose would represent reality more closely?

There is so much wrong here I hardly know where to start. Let me make a few points.
Your claim was that a certain position was more reasonable. How can you have evidence that a claim is reasonable. You can have evidence that a claim is or may be the case but what would constitute evidence for the reasonableness of a claim. Surely this is a matter of personal judgement not evidence.
There is simply no basis for the conclusion that the theory with most evidence is more likely to be true. The man to read on this is Popper - the book is The Logic of Scientific Discovery. There is no way using any known objective theory of probability to calculate how probable a theory is on the basis of the evidence. A theory which is weakly evidenced may turn out to be the case and one that is strongly evidenced can be false. You give examples but there are many counter examples. A good example is that at the time of Galileo there was far more evidence against the Copernican theory than there was for it.
One of the best books on this is Feyerabend's Against Method. http://www.amazon.com/Against-Method-Outline-Anarchistic-Knowledge/dp/0860916464
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby Keep The Reason » Wed May 23, 2012 5:29 pm

JustJim wrote:I think the vast majority of people who call themselves Christians do, in fact, aspire to live according to those things you've listed from Jesus' teachings. That they want to live according to those ideals doesn't mean they're always successful in doing so, of course, and even more importantly, that doesn't mean that isn't their ideology. I think you (KTR) could try harder to recognize that. You're implying that because they often fail at living up to the aspirations of their ideology, they don't really HAVE those aspirations as ideals for their behavior. How different is that from someone saying that because there are occasions when you fail to live up to your own moral values and standards for your own behavior, you really don't hold those values and standards? If I say I don't WANT to do that which I know is wrong, but I find myself doing it in spite of myself, does that mean I don't really think it's wrong? Of course not! Maybe you should lean a little farther toward judging Christians by the way you'd want to be judged....

I think Christians, in general, understand that they (we) all fall short of living up to what we believe is right and good and fair and just and so on. I understand their sense of 'conviction' over their 'guilt' and their sense of failure. I share similar feelings to theirs when I fall short of living up to my own standards of what's right and wrong. I know enough about Jesus and his teachings (as described in the Bible and from too-many-to-count hours of reading and studying it and its many, MANY interpretations) to know that when Christians figuratively lay themselves at the 'foot of the cross' in repentance and surrender to God's will -- as they perceive, understand, and believe it -- they're fully aware that they've failed to live up to the standards they believe their God has laid down for them to follow. Just because they don't always turn the other cheek; shun material gain; sacrifice their lives for their loved ones; love their neighbors as themselves; or refrain from adultery, divorce, killing, theft or lying doesn't mean they don't believe they SHOULD or that they don't do their humanly best to live up to those standards.

I don't know you well enough to say for sure, but based on what I know of you from your writings here, I'd be willing to bet you don't always live up to your own standards of how you want to live your life, either. And I don't think that means you don't really believe you should try to live that way. Can't you give Christians the same benefit of the doubt? I think you'd be a better, more complete atheist if you could find a way to do that....

I don't know... Maybe I'm reading you wrong. That's just my opinion, based on how I've interpreted your thoughts so far....

Jim


You're right of course. No one lives up to their standards all the time.

But here's where the divergence occurs. I don't claim to have anything remotely like a supreme "answer" for morality or ethics. I have a really good one, and one that I can demonstrate has efficacy, but it isn't supremely above all others and protected from criticism by default. I don't state that my belief system is decreed objectively from some authority we are meant to adhere to it above and beyond all others. While I think the various ethics and rules of secular humanism and reason have a far better grounding than those of the faith-based ideologies, I refrain from insisting they have some absolute value and that anyone who doesn't adhere to them is in some way denying some Supreme Authorship or "Sinning" or in any way diminished as a human being. No one ever deserves "eternal punishment" regardless of what they do (and I get that many Christians have filtered this to mean something far more benign; but then there are those who have not done this).

MY judgment here isn't going to translate into any direct action if that's what you're concerned about. Rather, the goal of this is to point out how great the hypocrisy really is when you have this standard of absolutism that people like the followers of those leaders I mentioned must adopt, but also that even the casual believer in Christianity is committed to a standard that's far beyond most humans to achieve.

Christianity holding us to higher standards really is not something I reject; in fact it's better to be held to higher standards. what I object to (and this is not news) is that the standard is made so that you must fail, and thus must need Jesus, and if you reject that, you are somehow a lesser person, or deserving of a lesser fate. I don't see Christianity as an ideology helping people overcome that sort of thinking and in fact I see it becoming enshrined.
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby Dr Mundo » Wed May 23, 2012 6:42 pm

Moonwood the Hare wrote:
Dr Mundo wrote:
Moonwood the Hare wrote:Yes I understand but here's the problem. The claim that the most reasonable position is to put the most stock on those claims for which we have evidentiary support is itself a claim which by its very nature cannot have evidentiary support and hence a claim on which according to itself we should not put much stock.
This is just not true. When we have a claim and want to examine it. We use evidence to support the claim in order to ensure that we have, at least to the best abilities we can sum up, a reasonably accurate claim. Take a look at the Chemical structure of fossil fuels. We use evidence to support the ratio of Carbon to Hydrogen in each variation. We have tons and tons of examples in which evidentiary support can give us accurate information. The abandonment of evidence in favor for "x" leads to less supported and higher probability of an inaccurate claim. That is used as evidence to support the claim that evidence supports claims far better than assumptions and guesses. If you wanted to see the chemical make up for gasoline would you use evidence supported data or guess as to what it might be, and if two different people used those two methods whos data do you suppose would represent reality more closely?

There is so much wrong here I hardly know where to start. Let me make a few points.
Your claim was that a certain position was more reasonable. How can you have evidence that a claim is reasonable. You can have evidence that a claim is or may be the case but what would constitute evidence for the reasonableness of a claim. Surely this is a matter of personal judgement not evidence.
There is simply no basis for the conclusion that the theory with most evidence is more likely to be true. The man to read on this is Popper - the book is The Logic of Scientific Discovery. There is no way using any known objective theory of probability to calculate how probable a theory is on the basis of the evidence. A theory which is weakly evidenced may turn out to be the case and one that is strongly evidenced can be false. You give examples but there are many counter examples. A good example is that at the time of Galileo there was far more evidence against the Copernican theory than there was for it.
One of the best books on this is Feyerabend's Against Method. http://www.amazon.com/Against-Method-Outline-Anarchistic-Knowledge/dp/0860916464
I don't see how your argument makes any sense. I am saying that evidentiary support for a claim leads to more reasonable conclusions than claims made without evidence to support them. Not that all claims with evidence to support them are true. I never said any theory is absolutely true. While I am a full proponent of the Theory of Evolution I am well aware of the problems with saying that it is absolutely true. Anyone who doesn't think that the theory of evolution is anything but the best possible explanation for the diversity of life on earth is either not concerned with scientific information or is grossly misinformed by choice or lack of interest. But its still not an absolute truth. It is possible though not probable that it could be mistaken and evidence found that would contradict that theory would mean we ought to abandon it in favor of its replacement with more confirming evidence. I don't see what your point of contention really is.
The question [Do you believe in God?] has a peculiar structure. If I say no, do I mean I'm convinced God doesn't exist, or do I mean I'm not convinced he does exist? Those are two very different questions. [Dr. Arroway]
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby mitchellmckain » Wed May 23, 2012 7:42 pm

Here you go again objecting to a statement of general principle by turning this into an accusation so that you can try refuting the accusation rather than the general principle. But I refute this tactic which you use so frequently. No, I will not stand down from this general principle because of this tactic. I accused you of nothing. Therefore any refutation you make of such a fabricated accuation has absolutely no bearing on what I said and certainly no bearing on the general prinicple which I am making.

Dr Mundo wrote:Thanks Mitch, for that insight. Guess why I am a bigot. Its because I hate people being mistreated unfairly, I am a bigot because I want more and more and more people to have equal opportunities to be successful, I am a bigot because I hate cruelty towards each other and the world around us, so I am a bigot to anything that I see stands in the way of that.

I don't know if you are a bigot or not, but no that is NOT a good excuse. It is an excuse that is frequently used. Do you not know that the Nazi's thought that the Jews were mistreating people unfairly? Do you not know that they thought that it was because of them that more and more people could not have equal opportunities to be successful? They really thought that they were improving the world by what they did. They saw the Jews as standing in the way of a better world and so they did their best to remove that obstacle.

Dr Mundo wrote: I don't care how you or anyone else feels about a particular ideology. I will voice my concerns regardless of how much you want me to just shut up and take it. You got it?

I don't care how you feel about a particular group of people or what they believe. I will voice MY CONCERN about the ideological type of things which people are asserting. And I will not shut up, no matter how many times you pretend this is about me making unjustified accusations. You got it?
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby mitchellmckain » Wed May 23, 2012 8:27 pm

Moonwood the Hare wrote:I am sorry if it seemed I was insisting. I would try not to do that and I did try to frame what I said in tentative language. There are two reasons why you might reject what I said. The first is that it was simply wrong, nothing about it fit in with your self understanding. If that were the case then insisting could do no good for obvious reasons. But there is a second possibility and that is that my interpretation was right and you resisted it because it made you uncomfortable at some level.

It was simply wrong.

Moonwood the Hare wrote:To insist in that case would also be harmful and futile. Indeed I think that was one of the problems of psychoanalysis. Freud did tend to insist on his interpretations and try to overcome his patients' resistance. Rogers thinks that is the main reason Freudian analysis took so long.

Yes I think Carl Rogers was not only correct but that he had the right idea of what the psychology professional needed to accomplish which was to facilitate the persons own self-communication and self-understanding. Freud's efforts to impose his own way of thinking on other people could only add to the problem because he was just becoming another person in the patients environment, whether parent, priest or whatever that was stuffing the patient into their own preconceptions.

Moonwood the Hare wrote:But in any case the theory I was using was not a form of psychoanalysis (Freud) but a form of transactional analysis (Berne). In some ways I am surprised you didn't recognize it because a lot of Berne's thinking became very popular in the culture you grew up in thanks to a book called 'I'm okay, Your, okay' by a gut called Harris. Did you ever see a copy on yout parents bookshelf?

Yes, I have heard of that book, but I am more familiar with the earlier book, "The games people play". Thus you have the timing wrong. The earlier book was certainly an influence on my parents but later book and its "transactional analysis" was much less so. Remember that they merely got their bachelors degree in psychology. They were not psychologists.

Moonwood the Hare wrote:
mitchellmckain wrote:Like EVERYONE, my childhood had both its good points and it bad points, and like everyone I am accustomed to the good things and have learned to cope with the bad things (sometimes by deciding never to subject my own children to the same thing). The result is that most would never exchange theirs for those that are different and I am certainly one of them. They wouldn't know how to cope with the problems that other people live with and would find it very difficult to live without the good things that make their life worthwhile. I believe this is a very large component of culture shock and this is not something that just happens when you go to another country. It can happen when you live or spend time in another persons house. So while my childhood circumstances might have appalled you, your childhood circumstances might very well have made me physically ill. LOL Ah yes there is a famous story about this very thing. It was called "Heidi".

It didn't appal me. I was speculating on why some of your reactions take the form they do; a subject you introduced. And while none of us can swap, all of us can learn from our encounters with these other cultures.

Yes indeed and what you quoted here is one of thing that I have learned from my encounter with other cultures.

Moonwood the Hare wrote:I felt you had internalised the dynamic of parent child relationships within that culture so that when you were rebuking Dr M. there was some kind of echo of criticisms you had received as a child.

No that is not correct. Close, but off the mark. Say rather that if you heard my father speak, it would have sounded hauntingly familiar. The same supercillious sarcasm dripping from every word. I despised it, but like happens so often with many of the things we despise in our parents, you can indeed say that these are habits of communication that have become so much a part of me, that I find it difficult to even be aware of them. I only know they are there, to my great confusion, fustration and exasperation, because of the way that other people respond to me. Its not about criticisms that I had from them as a child but rather the way they (my father in particular) spoke to everyone. We are talking about inherited habits of communication, not about psychological issues with my parents.

Moonwood the Hare wrote:
I think we do interact as people with particular backgrounds and these do colour our arguments. You tell me you often find other people's behaviour puzzling and don't seem to take account of their background.

I don't doubt it. I have never developed any skill in that area.

Arghhh... I am such a freakin head case. I tend to think in theoretical terms almost exclusively. So in practice, I don't know...

Moonwood the Hare wrote:
I feel that the whole tone used Dr M. and his whole approach has changed and that while he was making his point forcefully he was not being arrogant and I felt you went at him like a bull at a gate.

I agree about Dr Mundo, and what you say here make sense. crap! My apologies.... :smt009

Moonwood the Hare wrote:
Maybe it's the norms of my cultural background that make me see that as inappropriate but this view that it is inappropriate seems to be shared by a lot of people. Now I am not insisting that you adapt to the norms of the majority but I think it would help if you became more aware of them. And remember it is you who has kept saying that you don't understand people.

Yep.
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby Dr Mundo » Wed May 23, 2012 10:04 pm

mitchellmckain wrote:You got it?
I don't think I do. It sounds like we are disagreeing but I don't know what about.
The question [Do you believe in God?] has a peculiar structure. If I say no, do I mean I'm convinced God doesn't exist, or do I mean I'm not convinced he does exist? Those are two very different questions. [Dr. Arroway]
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby mitchellmckain » Wed May 23, 2012 11:21 pm

Dr Mundo wrote:
mitchellmckain wrote:You got it?

I don't think I do. It sounds like we are disagreeing but I don't know what about.

OK lets put it this way.
IF by "there certain ideologies that promote a moral system that can help societies and there are some we could do without" you mean to suggest that Christianity, or Judaism, or existentialism, etc... represents an ideology that does not promote a moral system and thus one that we can do without, then we do indeed disagree. If however you do not mean to say anything so simple minded but rather that some people make ideologies out of their religion/philosophy in a way that does not promote a moral system that is compatable with the principles of a free society and that we can do without that, such as, for example, when they make their ideology the measure of what is good, rational or sane, then in that case we agree.
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby Dr Mundo » Thu May 24, 2012 12:06 am

mitchellmckain wrote:
Dr Mundo wrote:
mitchellmckain wrote:You got it?

I don't think I do. It sounds like we are disagreeing but I don't know what about.

OK lets put it this way.
IF by "there certain ideologies that promote a moral system that can help societies and there are some we could do without" you mean to suggest that Christianity, or Judaism, or existentialism, etc... represents an ideology that does not promote a moral system and thus one that we can do without, then we do indeed disagree. If however you do not mean to say anything so simple minded but rather that some people make ideologies out of their religion/philosophy in a way that does not promote a moral system that compatable with the principles of a free society and that we can do without that, such as, for example, when they make their ideology the measure of what is good, rational or sane, then in that case we agree.
It seems that we do disagree on a lot of things. But we agree on plenty also. Its cool as long as we try to not treat anyone else unfairly I am fine with the fact that people think differently on many moral issues.
The question [Do you believe in God?] has a peculiar structure. If I say no, do I mean I'm convinced God doesn't exist, or do I mean I'm not convinced he does exist? Those are two very different questions. [Dr. Arroway]
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby Keep The Reason » Thu May 24, 2012 1:16 pm

Just throwing it out there: This follow up article to the NC homophobic pastor Worley story shows how people who follow a leader adopt the same beliefs of that leader. I would say this one pastor represents at least 50% of the number of his entire congregation who feel just like he does (it's probably higher). This stands as an illustration on how we can say some percentage (at least half) of the people who follow guys like Limbaugh and Beck and Robertson also adopt the same beliefs as they.

Link

Parishioners at North Carolina's Providence Road Baptist Church have come to the defense of Pastor Charles L. Worley, days after video footage of him delivering a viciously homophobic sermon went viral in the blogosphere.

"So he had every right to say what he said about putting them in a pen and feeding them," Providence Road Baptist Church member Geneva Sims tells NBC news affiliate WCNC. "The Bible says they are worthy of death. He only preaches the word...God made Adam and Eve, not Adam and Steve."

Adds member Stacey Pritchard: "Sometimes you’ve got to be scared straight. He is trying to save those people from going to hell."

In the video, reportedly filmed on May 13, Worley calls for gays and lesbians to be put in an electrified pen and left to ultimately die off. "Build a great, big, large fence -- 150 or 100 mile long -- put all the lesbians in there," Worley suggests. "Do the same thing for the queers and the homosexuals and have that fence electrified so they can't get out...and you know what, in a few years, they'll die out...do you know why? They can't reproduce!"

He also condemned President Obama's endorsement of same-sex marriage, proclaiming, "I'm not going to vote for a baby killer and a homosexual lover!"

Yesterday, Good as You blogger Jeremy Hooper unearthed additional audio of Worley, apparently recorded in 1978, in which the pastor declares, "Forty years ago [LGBT people] would've hung, bless God, from a white oak tree!"
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby mitchellmckain » Fri May 25, 2012 3:48 pm

Moonwood the Hare wrote:
I think we do interact as people with particular backgrounds and these do colour our arguments.


mitchellmckain wrote: We are talking about inherited habits of communication, ...


I am also beginning to wonder if it is about some kind of unspoken rules of engagement, kind of like the safe word in BDSM engagements. Like maybe (and I am just using my imagination here) the wounded bird routine is some kind of signal that the person needs some kind of tender loving care and because I don't respond to the signal the way it is expected, the discussion goes south and I get categorized as crass, unfeeling, immoral, barbaric or something.
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby Moonwood the Hare » Fri May 25, 2012 4:04 pm

mitchellmckain wrote:It was simply wrong.

okay
Moonwood the Hare wrote:To insist in that case would also be harmful and futile. Indeed I think that was one of the problems of psychoanalysis. Freud did tend to insist on his interpretations and try to overcome his patients' resistance. Rogers thinks that is the main reason Freudian analysis took so long.


Yes I think Carl Rogers was not only correct but that he had the right idea of what the psychology professional needed to accomplish which was to facilitate the persons own self-communication and self-understanding. Freud's efforts to impose his own way of thinking on other people could only add to the problem because he was just becoming another person in the patients environment, whether parent, priest or whatever that was stuffing the patient into their own preconceptions.

Yes but what they share is an ubderstanding that there is a part of the totality of our mental processes which we are not aware of and that this influences our behaviour.
Moonwood the Hare wrote:
But in any case the theory I was using was not a form of psychoanalysis (Freud) but a form of transactional analysis (Berne). In some ways I am surprised you didn't recognize it because a lot of Berne's thinking became very popular in the culture you grew up in thanks to a book called 'I'm okay, Your, okay' by a gut called Harris. Did you ever see a copy on yout parents bookshelf?

Yes, I have heard of that book, but I am more familiar with the earlier book, "The games people play". Thus you have the timing wrong. The earlier book was certainly an influence on my parents but later book and its "transactional analysis" was much less so. Remember that they merely got their bachelors degree in psychology. They were not psychologists.

Berne was the original thinker who first came up with transactional analysis and Harris the populariser. But I didn't know your parents studied psychology.
Moonwood the Hare wrote:I felt you had internalised the dynamic of parent child relationships within that culture so that when you were rebuking Dr M. there was some kind of echo of criticisms you had received as a child.

No that is not correct. Close, but off the mark. Say rather that if you heard my father speak, it would have sounded hauntingly familiar. The same supercillious sarcasm dripping from every word. I despised it, but like happens so often with many of the things we despise in our parents, you can indeed say that these are habits of communication that have become so much a part of me, that I find it difficult to even be aware of them. I only know they are there, to my great confusion, fustration and exasperation, because of the way that other people respond to me. Its not about criticisms that I had from them as a child but rather the way they (my father in particular) spoke to everyone. We are talking about inherited habits of communication, not about psychological issues with my parents.

With my father it was a use of rhetorical questions, especially when he was angry, and that affected me in two ways. Firstly that I copied his style without realising that and developed what one tutor described as considerable powers of invective with which I could hurt people without realising. Secondly when people asked me questions in a therapeutic context I would interpret them as if they were rhetorical questions. So instead of exploring myself I would wonder what point the other person was making.
Moonwood the Hare wrote:
I think we do interact as people with particular backgrounds and these do colour our arguments. You tell me you often find other people's behaviour puzzling and don't seem to take account of their background.

I don't doubt it. I have never developed any skill in that area.

Arghhh... I am such a freakin head case. I tend to think in theoretical terms almost exclusively. So in practice, I don't know...
I have, and it often puzzles me. When someone does something odd and I understand I think 'when did I ever learn the stuff that let me know that?' But I also tend to be intuitive when I'm up close to the point where some people think I'm psychic. But then I also make guesses which can be wrong. And in my early twenties I learned not to say to someone I know what you are thinking and then tell them. People find that scary.

Moonwood the Hare wrote:
I feel that the whole tone used Dr M. and his whole approach has changed and that while he was making his point forcefully he was not being arrogant and I felt you went at him like a bull at a gate.

I agree about Dr Mundo, and what you say here make sense. crap! My apologies.... :smt009

It's generous of you to admit that. I wonder if you suspect me of being sarcastic now.
Moonwood the Hare wrote:
Maybe it's the norms of my cultural background that make me see that as inappropriate but this view that it is inappropriate seems to be shared by a lot of people. Now I am not insisting that you adapt to the norms of the majority but I think it would help if you became more aware of them. And remember it is you who has kept saying that you don't understand people.

Yep.

And this also. I'm detecting a change in Dr.M. To be honest I think I tore into him a few times. Another one of my terrible habits is not really explaining things. I sort of expect people to have done the same background reading I have and I don't know why I should expect that, and then I don't want to lecture so I make very condensed utterances and hope people will have the patience to work out what I mean.
Mitch wrote:I am also beginning to wonder if it is about some kind of unspoken rules of engagement, kind of like the safe word in BDSM engagements. Like maybe (and I am just using my imagination here) the wounded bird routine is some kind of signal that the person needs some kind of tender loving care and because I don't respond to the signal the way it is expected, the discussion goes south and I get categorized as crass, unfeeling, immoral, barbaric or something.

That's a bit cryptic. Dr M didn't do any kind of wounded bird thing. He said in effect, I don't get it and I still thinks its nonsense because to me there's a way of putting arguments together and making a case and that depends on evidence and you are not really offering me any. And at that point you got frustrated because you have worked things out very differently to that and you in turn feel he doesn't get it. And getting people to the place where they get it is difficult.
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby Moonwood the Hare » Sun May 27, 2012 3:35 am

Dr Mundo wrote:I don't see how your argument makes any sense. I am saying that evidentiary support for a claim leads to more reasonable conclusions than claims made without evidence to support them.

Sometimes. But what is a reasonable conclusion and how does it differ from an unreasonable one? If a reasonable claim is just another way of saying a claim with evidentiary support then the term is redundant. As you seem to think that the claim 'I am saying that evidentiary support for a claim leads to more reasonable conclusions than claims made without evidence to support them' is a reasonable claim even though it lacks evidentiary support can you explain what it is that makes it reasonable?
Not that all claims with evidence to support them are true.

If some claims with evidence to support them are false then what is it that makes evidence a better way of arbitrating between claims? What makes this reasonable?
I never said any theory is absolutely true. While I am a full proponent of the Theory of Evolution I am well aware of the problems with saying that it is absolutely true. Anyone who doesn't think that the theory of evolution is anything but the best possible explanation for the diversity of life on earth is either not concerned with scientific information or is grossly misinformed by choice or lack of interest. But its still not an absolute truth. It is possible though not probable that it could be mistaken and evidence found that would contradict that theory would mean we ought to abandon it in favor of its replacement with more confirming evidence. I don't see what your point of contention really is.

My other point was about the use of the word probable in relation to scientific theories. So imagine this.

I find a large chest filled with small boxes and I open a box at random and find that it contains 107 red marbles. What is the probability that all the other boxes contain 107 red marbles. On the basis of that one find I have no way of predicting whether the other boxes contain marbles or whether they are red. The probability remains at zero. Suppose I open a second box and find this contains 113 green marbles. I know more than I did because I have falsified the claim that all the boxes contain red marbles. This has not changed the probability at all. Single observations do not raise the probability above zero and in terms of mathematical probability even if there are a thousand boxes and I have opened 99 of them and they are all full of red marbles the probability that the final box will contain red marbles remains at zero.

However suppose I know that these boxes have been filled by human beings for some purpose then based on what I know of human nature I may predict that the final box will contain the same thing as all the others but this probability is really psychological probability and no calculation can be placed on it.

When looking at order in the natural world it has not been designed (leaving God out of the picture as I think we must at this point) and so any order that has emerged has done so through 'natural processes'. There are two ways in which we can make predictions. Firstly we can spot a recurring pattern. In the case of our boxes, if we imagine them to be a product of nature, if we were to open them in order and find the first box contained red, the second green and the third yellow and this pattern were repeated in series we would be able to make predictions and we would in practice say things like the next one will probably be green but in terms of probability calculus the probability of the next one being Green would still be zero just as it would when we opened all the boxes and found them to contain red marbles.

However there is another kind of discovery we can make. We can discover an underlying causal pattern what we call laws. If for example there were some kind of filter mechanism that allowed only balls of one colour to go into each box and some kind of attractive or repulsive force between colours that caused the red, green, yellow pattern then we would have a law of nature and by accepting that law of nature we would be able to make accurate probability predictions about the ordering of the balls because we would be using a law to predict events. However, and this is the really hard part to grasp, if you ask the question how probable is it that the theory we have now formulated about the laws governing the behaviour of the balls is true then the probability is once again zero. It is zero because in relation to the whole of nature we are in the same position we were in relation to the case when we had opened a single box.

Essentially this is Popper's argument against the probability approach to theories and logically it has been deemed sound.
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Re: For Moonwood and KTR

Postby JustJim » Sun May 27, 2012 4:14 am

Moonwood the Hare wrote:I find a large chest filled with small boxes and I open a box at random and find that it contains 107 red marbles. What is the probability that all the other boxes contain 107 red marbles. On the basis of that one find I have no way of predicting whether the other boxes contain marbles or whether they are red. The probability remains at zero. Suppose I open a second box and find this contains 113 green marbles. I know more than I did because I have falsified the claim that all the boxes contain red marbles. This has not changed the probability at all. Single observations do not raise the probability above zero and in terms of mathematical probability even if there are a thousand boxes and I have opened 999 of them and they are all full of red marbles the probability that the final box will contain red marbles remains at zero.

Suppose someone intervenes at this point and, holding a gun to your head, says, "What color are the marbles in the final box? Answer the question! If you don't answer, or if you answer incorrectly, I'll blow your brains out!" What would your answer be?

If you're like the rest of us, I think you'd say the marbles in the final box are red. But why? If the probability that the marbles in the final box are red is ZERO, what makes virtually all of us, if our lives depend on it, answer that those marbles are red? If it's not probability, then what is it? Surely, the marbles might NOT be red, but, after the first 999 contained red marbles, would you predict any OTHER color for the marbles in the final box? Of course not! But WHY not? Why do we think that answering "red" is our best chance for keeping our brains inside our heads?

Do you think our unconscious minds nearly instantly go through all those reasoning processes you outlined in the rest of your post and determine that red is the best answer to the question, given the information we have? If so, what would you call that? If we're not somehow "calculating the odds" that the marbles in the final box are red, then what ARE we doing? It's not intuition, it's not pure guess work, it's not the same as flipping a coin... so what is it?

Jim
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